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 Assessing the pro-poorness of government fiscal policy in Thailand
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Hyun H. Son 5 D ifferentiating (1) and using (8) gives the elasticity of θ w ith respect to iµ as ( ) ( ) � == z ii i i dxxfxg x P 0 1 ∂ ∂ θθ µ ∂µ ∂θηθ (9) For the Foster, G reer and Thorbecke (1984) class of poverty...
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Hyun H. Son 5 D ifferentiating (1) and using (8) gives the elasticity of θ w ith respect to iµ as ( ) ( ) � == z ii i i dxxfxg x P 0 1 ∂ ∂ θθ µ ∂µ ∂θηθ (9) For the Foster, G reer and Thorbecke (1984) class of poverty m easures, the ith incom e com ponent elasticity is derived from (8) as � − � � � � � � − −= z ii dxxfxg z xz z0 1 )()(1 α α α θ αη (10) for α ≠ 0 , w hich can easily be com puted given data on incom e com ponents and the net incom e x. The m ean incom e com ponent
6 0 http://www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=6 www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=6
4 International Poverty Centre W orking Paper n&ordm; 15 w hich is the percentage of poor w ho w ill cross the poverty line as a result of 1 percent of grow th in the m ean incom e of the society. Substituting &alpha;)(),( z xz xzP &minus;= into (4) gives the elasticity of &theta;&alpha; w ith respect to &micro; as ( ) &alpha; &alpha;&alpha; &alpha; &alpha; &alpha; &theta; &theta;&theta;&alpha; &theta; &micro; &part;&micro; &part;&theta;&eta; &minus;&minus;== &minus;1 (5) for &alpha; &ne; 0 , w hich w ill alw ays be negative because &theta;&alpha; is a m onotonically decreasing function of &alpha;. 2.3 G ROW TH ELASTICITY OF INCOM E <span class="highlight">COM</span> PONENTS The total (or net) incom e
7 0 http://www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=7 www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=7
Hyun H. Son 5 D ifferentiating (1) and using (8) gives the elasticity of &theta; w ith respect to i&micro; as ( ) ( ) &#65533; == z ii i i dxxfxg x P 0 1 &part; &part; &theta;&theta; &micro; &part;&micro; &part;&theta;&eta;&theta; (9) For the Foster, G reer and Thorbecke (1984) class of poverty m easures, the ith incom e <span class="highlight">com</span> ponent elasticity is derived from (8) as &#65533; &minus; &#65533; &#65533; &#65533; &#65533; &#65533; &#65533; &minus; &minus;= z ii dxxfxg z xz z0 1 )()(1 &alpha; &alpha; &alpha; &theta; &alpha;&eta; (10) for &alpha; &ne; 0 , w hich can easily be <span class="highlight">com</span> puted given data on incom e <span class="highlight">com</span> ponents and the net incom e x. The m ean incom e <span class="highlight">com</span> ponent
8 0 http://www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=8 www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=8
increase in i&micro; redistributes incom e in favor of the rich or the poor individuals. In this case, w e m ust <span class="highlight">com</span> pute the redistribution effect of an incom e <span class="highlight">com</span> ponent on poverty. This is accom plished by decom posing the poverty elasticity i&theta;&eta; into tw o <span class="highlight">com</span> ponents: &#65533; &#65533; &#65533; &#65533; &#65533; &#65533; &#65533; &#65533; &minus;+= &theta;&theta;&theta;&theta; &eta;&micro; &micro;&eta;&eta; &micro; &micro;&eta; iiii (12) The first term on the right-hand side is the incom e effect, and the second term is the redistribution effect. It is the redistribution effect that tells us w hether an increase in
9 0 http://www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=9 www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=9
Hyun H. Son 7 To derive the elasticity, let us w rite the dem and equations of k <span class="highlight">com</span> m odities as q = q (x, p) w here p and q are the k &times; 1 vectors of prices and quantities of k <span class="highlight">com</span> m odities, and x is the disposable incom e. It is reasonable to assum e that all individuals face the sam e price vector, w hich m eans that the prices are fixed across individuals. Thus, w e w rite the dem and equation as q = q(x), w hich are the quantities consum ed by an individual w ith disposable incom e x.1 U
10 0 http://www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=10 www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=10
8 International Poverty Centre W orking Paper n&ordm; 15 w here &micro; is the m ean incom e of the disposable incom e and p qi i is the m ean expenditure of the ith <span class="highlight">com</span> m odity. The first term in (17) is the incom e effect of the price increase, w hich is alw ays positive because &theta;&eta; , given in (4), is negative. The second term is the redistribution or inequality effect of price change. It is the redistribution effect that tells us w hether an increase in price pi hurts the poor proportionally m ore than
13 0 http://www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=13 www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=13
Hyun H. Son 11 4 D ATA ANALYSIS 4.1 D ATA SOURCE The data source <span class="highlight">com</span> es from the Socio-Econom ic Surveys (SES) conducted in 1998. The SES data are unit record household surveys conducted every tw o years by the National Statistics Office in Thailand. The survey is nationw ide and covers all private, non-institutional households residing perm anently in m unicipal, sanitary districts, and villages. How ever, it excludes part of the population living in transient hotels or room ing houses
14 0 http://www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=14 www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=14
12 International Poverty Centre W orking Paper n&ordm; 15 4.2 ANALYSIS OF EM PIRICAL RESULTS Table 3 presents the values of poverty elasticity and the pro-poor index for different incom e <span class="highlight">com</span> ponents. Public policies can be assessed for different m easures of poverty. The head-count ratio is a crude m easure of poverty because it <span class="highlight">com</span> pletely ignores the gap in incom es from the poverty line and the distribution of incom e am ong the poor. The severity of the poverty index has all the desirable
15 0 http://www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=15 www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=15
Hyun H. Son 13 FIG U RE 1 Pro-Poor index for incom e <span class="highlight">com</span> ponents, poverty gap ratio 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Wa ge &amp; sa lar y En tre pre ne ur ial inc om e Fa rm inc om e Re nt fro m bo ar de rs La nd re nt fro m far m ing Ot her re nt fro m no n- far m ing Int er es t &amp; div ide nd s Re m itta nc es Pe ns ion s &amp; an nu itie s Te rm ina l p ay &amp; ot her s Fo od as pa rt o f p ay Re nt re ce ive d a s p ay Ot her go od s a s p ay Ho m e pro
23 0 http://www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=23 www.undp-povertycentre.org/pub/IPCWorkingPaper15.pdf#page=23
NOTES 1. Note that w riting the dem and equations in the form q=q(x) does not im ply that all ow n-price and cross-price elasticities of dem and are zero. It only im plies that prices do not vary across individuals. 2. CV= [e(u,p*)-e(u,p)] is the <span class="highlight">com</span> pensation variation, the <span class="highlight">com</span> pensation that should be given to an individual to m aintain his or her utility level the sam e as before the price change. 3. The poverty threshold is set using the calorie requirem ents of individuals that differ by age